Ethereum Price Prediction Market Launched by Robinhood Derivatives

The price of Ethereum on October 3, 2026, at 10 pm EDT will be the focus of a prediction market offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC. The market allows users to predict whether the price will be above certain thresholds, with varying probabilities assigned to each outcome. According to the market, the probability of the price being above $2,685 is 95%, above $2,690 is 68%, and above $2,695 is 26%. The contract will resolve based on the average price of 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Users who correctly predict the price will receive $1 for every contract they own, with additional fees applying.

The market also includes information about trading hours, contract resolution, and payout. Trading is available 24 hours a day, except for Thursdays from 3 am to 5 am ET. The contract will resolve within one hour of event resolution, and the official and final value will be the average of the 60 RTI prices collected.

It's worth noting that trading prohibitions apply to persons employed by certain agencies and those holding material, non-public information on Ethereum.