The recent U.S. midterms did not center on climate policy, but the Democrats' strong victory suggests a potential shift in global climate cooperation. While the U.S. has not shown clear leadership on climate action, other countries are making progress on long-standing issues. In April, 57 nations met in Colombia to address barriers to transitioning away from fossil fuels, including a mix of developed and developing countries. Additionally, the E.U., China, and Brazil have formed a new coalition on carbon markets, a critical but challenging issue in climate diplomacy.
The push for climate action is driven by shared national interests, as governments recognize the threats posed by climate change and energy insecurity. The latest fossil fuel shock, triggered by the war in Iran, has highlighted the vulnerabilities of relying on oil and gas. Meanwhile, renewable energy technologies like batteries, solar panels, and electric vehicles are becoming more affordable and popular. Sales of electric cars outside China and the U.S. rose by an estimated 45% in the first eight months of this year compared to 2025.
Climate disasters are also taking a significant economic toll, with the world on track to exceed 1.5°C of warming. The U.S. has actively opposed climate action, threatening tariffs and attempting to keep climate change off international agendas. However, the midterms expose the flaws in the Trump Administration's promise that fossil fuels will deliver affordable energy. Other countries may now feel more confident in pursuing their own climate ambitions without fear of U.S. retaliation.
At the upcoming COP31 conference in Antalya, Turkey, a broad group of countries aims to pledge the use of clean electricity to replace fossil fuels. Major importers like Europe and clean technology suppliers like China have a strong stake in this effort. American states, cities, and businesses are also expected to participate, signaling a collective intent to advance climate action despite federal policy.