McGlone Warns High Equity Valuations and Rate Hikes Threaten Bitcoin
Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodities strategist Mike McGlone has issued a warning about Bitcoin ($BTC), stating that high equity valuations and expectations of further interest rate hikes are creating strong sell signals for the digital asset.
McGlone noted that $BTC's performance over the past five years has been roughly on par with the S&P 500 index, but its volatility has been approximately three times higher. He described Bitcoin as an extremely volatile and speculative asset, citing its high correlation with the stock market and competition from millions of other crypto assets.
According to McGlone, $BTC tends to move strongly with the S&P 500, especially during periods of decreased market risk appetite, making it a high-beta asset that follows the stock market. He pointed out three key factors increasing the downside risks for Bitcoin: resistance at around $80,000, pricing in of approximately 70 basis points of Fed interest rate hikes over the next year, and the S&P 500 index being significantly higher than its 200-week moving average.