Microsoft AI Predicts BTC Price to Reach $200K to $250K in Q4 2026

A Microsoft AI model has made a bold prediction for Bitcoin's price in Q4 2026, suggesting that it will reach one of the strongest asymmetric risk-reward positions available. According to the base case, Bitcoin could trade between $140,000 and $180,000 by the end of the year.

A bull case scenario puts the price even higher, with a potential range of $200,000 to $250,000 if institutional demand accelerates from here.

The model cites several factors that could contribute to this price growth, including continued spot ETF inflows, expanding wealth management distribution, and growing corporate treasury adoption. These trends would lead to more structural buyers competing for a shrinking pool of coins.

Additionally, the 2024 halving has already put supply constraints in effect, which would be further exacerbated by declining exchange balances and long-term holder accumulation.