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OPEC+ Abandons Production Quota Cuts Amid Global Oil Surplus

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OPEC+, the largest oil cartel in the world, has lost its control over global crude prices. The group's production quota cuts, implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, have been rendered ineffective due to rising production levels from non-member nations like the United States and Guyana.

As a result, OPEC+ is planning to fully unwind what remains of the voluntary production quota cuts at its upcoming meeting on August 2. This decision comes after the cartel realized it had no other tool at its disposal to address the global oil surplus.

The situation has been further complicated by the ongoing conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran, with the Persian Gulf members being held hostage by the Revolutionary Guard's attacks on key infrastructure such as the Strait of Hormuz. The closure of the Bab el Mandeb Strait has also threatened Saudi Arabia's logistics, forcing it to consider shipping oil through the Suez Canal or across the African continent.

The abandonment of OPEC+'s production cuts will have little impact on global crude prices, which have already dropped to as low as $55 per barrel in mid-January 2026. The decision marks a significant shift in the cartel's power and highlights the changing landscape of the oil market.

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