Robinhood Bets on Bitcoin’s Future Price in 2026 Prediction Market
Robinhood's crypto prediction market is offering a new contract for traders to speculate on the future price of Bitcoin. The contract, set to resolve on October 6, 2026, at 1 PM EDT, asks participants to predict whether the price of BTC will be above specific thresholds. The current odds show a 79-cent chance that Bitcoin will be at or above $85,600, with diminishing probabilities for higher price targets like $85,700 (69 cents), $85,800 (58 cents), and $85,900 (42 cents).
The price used to determine the contract's outcome will be based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). The final value will be the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. Traders can earn $1 for every correct contract they own or choose to close their positions before the event resolves.
Robinhood Derivatives, LLC manages the event contracts through platforms like KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. The trading hours are 24 hours a day, except for a brief maintenance window on Thursdays from 3 AM to 5 AM ET. Additional fees and trading prohibitions apply, particularly for those with material, non-public information.