Robinhood Bets on Solana Price Prediction for 2026
Robinhood has launched a new prediction market for the price of Solana (SOL), set to resolve on October 5, 2026. The contract in question will determine whether the price of SOL reaches or exceeds $119.0902 during a 15-minute window from 12:30 PM to 12:45 PM EDT that day.
The outcome will be based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSDRTI prices collected just before 12:45 PM EDT. If this average is at least as high as the average of the sixty seconds of prices collected before 12:30 PM EDT, the contract resolves to 'Yes.'
Traders can buy contracts at 99.9¢ each, with the potential to earn $1 for every correct prediction. Alternatively, they can close their positions before the event resolves, though additional fees may apply. The platform emphasizes that the price used to determine the contract's outcome is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), not general sources like Google or Coinbase.
Robinhood also notes trading prohibitions for individuals employed by source agencies or those holding material, non-public information about SOL. The platform advises caution, stating that futures, options, and swaps trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone.