Robinhood Derivatives Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market

Robinhood Derivatives has launched a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on September 20, 2026, at 7pm EDT. The contract offers traders the chance to predict whether the price will fall within certain ranges: $80,700 to $80,799.9915¢, $80,800 to $80,899.9914¢, or other specified ranges up to $81,099.9913¢ and as low as $80,600 to $80,699.9911¢.

The contract uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices to determine the outcome. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.

Traders can win $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct or close their position before the event resolves, incurring additional fees. Trading prohibitions apply to individuals employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.