Robinhood Derivatives Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market
Robinhood Derivatives is offering a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin on October 3, 2026, at 12am EDT. The contract allows traders to predict the price of Bitcoin within a range of $84,600 to $84,699.9997¢, $84,500 to $84,599.9910¢, $84,200 to $84,299.994¢, $84,300 to $84,399.994¢, or $84,800 to $84,899.994¢.
The contract's outcome is determined by the CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Traders can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct. Alternatively, they can close their position before the event resolves, but additional fees apply.
The contract is offered through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, and North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.