Robinhood Derivatives Launches Contract for Bitcoin Price Prediction on October 2, 2026

Robinhood Derivatives has announced a new contract for predicting the price of Bitcoin on October 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The contract will determine the outcome based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). Sixty RTI prices will be collected in the last minute before expiration, and the official final value will be the average of these prices.

The contract offers a payout of $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct. Alternatively, traders can close their position before the event resolves, with additional fees applying.

Trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies and those holding material non-public information on Bitcoin. The contract is offered by Robinhood Derivatives through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.