Robinhood Derivatives Launches ETH Price Prediction Market for August 1, 2026

Robinhood Derivatives has introduced a new prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) price on August 1, 2026 at 2am EDT. The contract is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which averages the last 60 prices collected before expiration. This event will determine the outcome of the contract and payout will be usually within an hour of resolution.

The minimum price targets are $1,860 or above with a probability of 98%, followed by $1,865 or above with a 92% chance, and so on until $1,880 or above which has only a 1% probability. The trading hours for this contract are 24/7 except Thursday from 3am-5am ET.

Futures and options on futures and cleared swaps trading involve significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. As such, participants should carefully consider their personal financial circumstances before engaging in these activities.