Robinhood Derivatives Launches Prediction Market for October 2026 Bitcoin Price

A new prediction market on Robinhood Derivatives allows users to bet on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) at a specific time in the future. According to the contract, the outcome will be determined by the price of BTC on October 2, 2026, at 1am EDT. The possible outcomes are: $85,800 to $85,899.9914¢, $85,700 to $85,799.9912¢, and $86,200 to $86,299.9912¢.

The contract uses data from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the outcome. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected, and the official and final value is the average of these prices.