Robinhood Derivatives Releases Prediction Market for BTC Price on Sept 16, 2026
Roger Holdings has released a prediction market through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, offering contracts that settle on September 16, 2026 at 8pm EDT. The contracts will be based on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and will pay out if the price reaches specific targets. According to the contract terms, participants can win $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct.
The contract prices are as follows: $76,100 or above pays 77 cents, $76,200 or above pays 34 cents, and $76,300 or above pays 7 cents. The contract also states that it will resolve within an hour of the event resolution, using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the outcome.
The contracts are available for trading 24 hours a day, except Thursday from 3am-5am ET, and are subject to certain restrictions. Only those with material, non-public information on Bitcoin are prohibited from trading on the contract.