Robinhood Derivatives Sets Key Date: August 5, 2026 Bitcoin Price Determined

On August 5, 2026, at 3am EDT, Bitcoin's price will be determined by Robinhood Derivatives' prediction market. The outcome will be based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected in the last minute before expiration.

The contract resolves into one of several possible outcomes: $64,200 or above, $64,300 or above, and so on up to $64,500 or above. Each outcome has a specific probability assigned to it, with $64,200 or above being the most likely at 89 cents.

Those who own contracts for these outcomes will receive payouts if their predictions are correct. The official and final value of Bitcoin's price is determined by averaging the last 60 RTI prices collected before expiration.