Robinhood Launches Bitcoin Price Prediction Market for 2026

Robinhood has launched a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on October 5, 2026, at 11 PM EDT. The platform is offering contracts that allow users to speculate on whether BTC will fall within specific price ranges. The possible ranges include $85,500 to $85,599.9999, $85,900 to $85,999.999, and $85,400 to $85,499.995, among others.

The outcome of these contracts will be determined using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices will be collected, and the official value will be the average of these prices. Users can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or they can close their position before the event resolves.

Robinhood has also outlined trading prohibitions, noting that persons employed by any of the source agencies or those holding material, non-public information are not permitted to trade on the contract. The platform emphasizes that futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading involve significant risk and are not appropriate for everyone.

Live data provided by Robinhood is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC and ForecastEX, LLC.