Robinhood launches Bitcoin price prediction market for 2026
Robinhood is offering a prediction market for the price of Bitcoin on October 6, 2026. The contract will determine the value of BTC at 11am EDT, using the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) as the reference. Traders can bet on whether the price will be above specific thresholds: $86,100 (75¢), $86,200 (65¢), $86,300 (49¢), $86,400 (39¢), or $86,500 (20¢).
The prediction market operates 24 hours a day, except for a brief maintenance window from 3AM to 5AM ET every Thursday. The contract will resolve shortly after the event, with payouts typically occurring within an hour of resolution. Participants can earn $1 for each correct contract they own or choose to close their positions before the event.
Robinhood Derivatives, LLC facilitates these contracts through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC and ForecastEX, LLC. However, there are restrictions on who can trade, such as employees of the source agencies or individuals with material, non-public information. The live data provided is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.