Robinhood Launches Dogecoin Price Prediction Market for 2026

Robinhood has launched a new prediction market for Dogecoin (DOGE), set to resolve on October 4, 2026. The contract in question will determine whether the price of DOGE reaches or exceeds $0.0952534 during a 15-minute window ending at 2:30 PM EDT that day. The outcome will be based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSDRTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration.

Participants in this market can bet on whether DOGE will hit the target price or not. If the average price of DOGE over the 60 seconds before 2:30 PM EDT is at least the average price from the 60 seconds before 2:15 PM EDT, the contract resolves to 'Yes.' Traders can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct or choose to close their position before the event resolves.

Robinhood emphasizes that the price data used for this contract is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), not sources like Google or Coinbase. The final value is determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute, rounded to seven decimal places. The platform also notes that trading prohibitions apply to persons employed by the source agencies or those holding material, non-public information.

The prediction market is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC and ForecastEX, LLC. The company cautions that trading futures, options, or cleared swaps involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone.