Robinhood Launches Prediction Market for BTC Price on September 17, 2026
Retail brokerage platform Robinhood has launched a prediction market on its derivatives trading platform. The market, which is set to expire on September 17, 2026 at 11pm EDT, asks participants to predict the price of Bitcoin (BTC) at that time. According to the contract terms, the final value will be determined by taking the average of sixty Real-Time Index prices collected in the minute leading up to expiration.
The payout for correct predictions varies depending on the price range: $76,900 or above yields a 99¢ payout per contract, while $75,900 or above nets 64¢ per contract. Meanwhile, $77,000 or above is worth just 1¢ per contract.
It's worth noting that futures and options trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Additionally, certain individuals such as those employed by the Source Agencies are barred from participating in the market due to material non-public information restrictions.