Robinhood Launches XRP Price Prediction Market for 2026
Robinhood has launched a new prediction market centered on the price of XRP, set to resolve on October 5, 2026. The contract in question asks whether the price of XRP will be at or above $1.4965 during a 15-minute window ending at 2:15 PM EDT that day. The outcome will be determined by the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSDRTI prices collected just before the 2:15 PM EDT deadline.
The contract will resolve to 'Yes' if the average price at that time is at least as high as the average price collected at 2:00 PM EDT on the same day. Robinhood emphasizes that the price data used for this determination is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), not general sources like Google or Coinbase.
Participants can earn $1 for every correct contract they own if the prediction is accurate. Alternatively, they have the option to close their positions before the event resolves. However, additional fees apply, and traders should review the full contract terms and conditions.
Certain trading prohibitions apply, including restrictions for individuals employed by any of the Source Agencies or those holding material, non-public information about XRP. The platform also reminds users that futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading involve significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone.