Robinhood Prediction Market Aims to Pin Down Bitcoin Price on August 25, 2026

A new prediction market on Robinhood is allowing users to wager on the price of Bitcoin on August 25, 2026 at 8pm EDT. The market offers three possible price ranges for BTC: $78,800 to $78,899.9918¢, $78,900 to $78,999.9916¢, and $79,000 to $79,099.9915¢.

The outcome will be verified from CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices at the last minute before expiration and calculates the average as the official value.

Users can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or close their position before the event resolves. However, trading prohibitions apply to certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies and those holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.