Robinhood prediction market eyes Bitcoin above $84,000 in 2026

On October 5, 2026, at 1pm EDT, a prediction market on Robinhood will determine the price of Bitcoin (BTC). The market is set up to resolve based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which averages 60 prices collected in the final minute before expiration.

Current predictions on the platform show high confidence in Bitcoin's price exceeding $84,000, with contracts priced at 99¢ for various thresholds above that level, including $84,100, $84,200, and up to $84,400. The platform allows users to trade these contracts 24 hours a day, except for a brief maintenance window from 3am to 5am ET on Thursdays.

Users can profit by correctly predicting the price or by closing their positions before the event resolves. However, additional fees apply, and the platform outlines specific trading prohibitions, including restrictions for individuals with material, non-public information or those employed by certain agencies.

The event is offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, in collaboration with several exchange entities. While live data is provided for informational purposes, it may be delayed or incorrect, and users are advised to review the full contract terms and conditions.