Robinhood Prediction Market Sees Bitcoin Price at $81k or Higher in 2026

A new prediction market on Robinhood has sparked interest among crypto enthusiasts and traders. The market is centered around the price of Bitcoin (BTC) at a specific date in the future: September 21, 2026, at 5pm EDT. The predicted prices are as follows: $81,000 or above with a 59¢ probability, $81,250 or above with a 46¢ probability, and $82,500 or above with a 19¢ probability.

The prediction market uses CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the final price. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. The payout for correct predictions will be $1 per contract owned, with additional fees applying.

Trading on this market is available 24 hours a day, except for Thursday mornings between 3 AM and 5 AM ET. However, there are restrictions in place: individuals employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on the underlying asset are not permitted to trade.