Robinhood Prediction Market Sets Target Price for Bitcoin on October 3, 2026

A prediction market on Robinhood has set a target price for Bitcoin on October 3, 2026 at 7pm EDT. According to the market, there is a 90% chance that the price of BTC will be $84,700 or above. In contrast, there is only a 31% chance that it will reach $84,800 or above.

The prediction market uses CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the outcome. The final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.

Payouts are made within one hour of event resolution, and users can close their positions before the event resolves to avoid additional fees.