Robinhood Predicts Bitcoin Could Hit $86,000 by 2026

Robinhood's crypto prediction market is offering contracts on the future price of Bitcoin (BTC) as of October 5, 2026, at 9 pm EDT. The prediction market allows users to bet on whether the price of BTC will be above specific thresholds, including $85,700, $85,800, $85,900, and $86,000.

The current probabilities indicate that traders are most confident in BTC being above $85,600, with a 99¢ chance, followed by $85,700 at 97¢. The odds drop significantly for higher price points, such as $86,000, which has only a 2¢ chance according to the market.

The contract's outcome will be determined using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which averages 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. Payouts are made within an hour of event resolution, and users can either earn $1 for each correct contract or close their positions before the event resolves.

Robinhood Derivatives, LLC offers these event contracts through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC and ForecastEX, LLC. The platform also includes trading prohibitions for individuals with material, non-public information or those employed by the source agencies.