Robinhood Predicts Bitcoin Price Targets for October 2026

On October 5, 2026, at 5 am EDT, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is the subject of a prediction market hosted by Robinhood. The contract, which resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), shows varying probabilities for different price targets. The highest confidence, at 98¢, is placed on BTC reaching $85,300 or above. Other notable predictions include a 97¢ chance of BTC hitting $85,500 or above and a 9¢ probability of the price soaring to $87,500 or above.

The contract uses an average of 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration to determine the outcome. Payouts occur within an hour of event resolution, with traders receiving $1 for each correct contract. Participants can also close their positions before the event resolves, though additional fees may apply.

Robinhood Derivatives, LLC offers these event contracts through platforms like KalshiEX LLC and ForecastEX, LLC. The company emphasizes that trading such contracts involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone. Live data provided is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Certain restrictions apply, including trading prohibitions for individuals employed by the source agencies or those in possession of material, non-public information about the underlying asset.