Robinhood Sets Up Crypto Prediction Market for July 30, 2026 Bitcoin Price

Roger and his team at Robinhood have set up a crypto prediction market for July 30, 2026. The question is what will be the price of Bitcoin at 11pm EDT that day?

The price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected, and the official and final value is the average of these prices.

Here's how it breaks down. If the price ends up at or above $64,400, you get 70 cents per contract. At or above $64,500, it's 52 cents per contract. And if the price reaches or exceeds $64,600, you'll get 33 cents per contract.

The event takes place in 24 hours a day, except for Thursday from 3AM to 5AM ET. Live data is available and may be delayed or incorrect. Trading prohibitions apply, including restrictions on persons employed by the Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on the Underlying.