Robinhood's Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Sets Stage for October 2026
On October 3, 2026, at 8am EDT, the price of Bitcoin will be determined through a prediction market offered by Robinhood. The market allows users to predict whether the BTC price will reach certain thresholds.
The thresholds are as follows: $84,500 or above, which is associated with a payout of 96¢; $84,600 or above, which is associated with a payout of 69¢; and $84,700 or above, which is associated with a payout of 10¢. The lowest threshold is $84,400 or above, which is associated with a payout of 98¢.
The prediction market uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the price. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Trading hours are available 24/7, except for Thursday from 3am-5am ET.
Persons employed by certain agencies or those with material non-public information on Bitcoin are not permitted to trade in this market.