Robinhood's BTC Price Prediction Market Shows Varying Probabilities

On September 17, 2026, at an unspecified hour before expiration, Robinhood's prediction market for BTC price will come to a close. The market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) and determines the outcome of the contract by averaging the prices collected from 60 RTI prices. According to the market, there are varying predictions about the future price of Bitcoin.

At $77,300 or above, the predicted probability is 88¢, while at $77,400 or above, it's 46¢. The contract resolves on September 18, 2026, at 12am EDT, and payouts are usually within one hour of event resolution.

The trading hours for this market are 24 hours a day, except Thursday from 3 AM to 5 AM ET. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges, and restrictions apply.