Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market Aims to Gauge Bitcoin's Price by August

The crypto prediction market on Robinhood is offering traders a chance to bet on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 30, 2026 at 9pm EDT. The market is based on the CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices in the last minute before expiration and determines the official and final value as their average.

The contract resolves by determining if the price of BTC will be $77,500 or above, with different payout percentages for reaching specific targets. For example, there's a 57% chance of winning if the price is $77,600 or above, and 36% if it reaches $77,700.

It's essential to note that futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading involve significant risk and are not suitable for everyone. Live data may be delayed or incorrect, and event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.

Trading prohibitions apply to persons employed by the Source Agencies or holding material, non-public information on the Underlying. Additional fees apply for trading on this contract.