Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market: Betting on Bitcoin Price in July 2026

Retail trading platform Robinhood is now allowing users to speculate on the price of Bitcoin on a specific date in July 2026. The 'Crypto Prediction Market' offers contracts that settle at either $64,000 or $63,900 for one BTC, depending on the outcome.

The prediction market allows traders to wager on whether the price of Bitcoin will be within a certain range on July 31, 2026, at 4am EDT. This is based on data from CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index (RTI), which collects and averages prices in real-time.

According to the contract terms, users can earn $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or close their position before the event resolves. However, there are trading prohibitions in place for certain individuals, including those employed by Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on the underlying asset.