Robinhood's ETH Price Prediction Market Targets October 2026

Ridgewood's prediction market on Robinhood has a new contract tied to the price of Ethereum (ETH) on October 2, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The contract resolves based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices in the last minute before expiration. The final value is the average of these prices.

The contract offers a payout for those who correctly predict the ETH price within certain ranges: $2,665 or above with a 58% probability, $2,670 or above with a 44% chance, and $2,675 or above with a 30% likelihood. Conversely, there is also a maximum of $2,660 with a 74% probability.

Futures, options on futures, and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. The contract prohibits certain individuals from trading, including those employed by the Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on the underlying asset.