Robinhood's Ethereum Price Prediction Market Targets July 2026

On July 27, 2026, at 2pm EDT, Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market will determine the outcome of a contract related to the price of Ethereum. The question is: what will be the price of ETH on that day?

The contract offers different price targets for Ethereum, with corresponding probabilities. A $1,935 or above prediction has a 64% chance of being correct, while a $1,940 or above prediction has a 38% chance. The probability decreases to 13% for a $1,945 or above prediction and 7% for a $1,950 or above prediction.

The price used to determine the market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected, and the official and final value is the average of these prices. This ensures that the contract resolution is fair and transparent.