Robinhood's Prediction Market to Settle Bitcoin Price Outcome August 4, 2026

Risk-takers on Robinhood's prediction market have been speculating about Bitcoin's price on August 4, 2026. At 8pm EDT that day, a payout will be determined based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). The final value will be the average of 60 collected RTI prices.

If the price is above $65,200 at that time, owners of contracts predicting this outcome will receive a payout. If it's between $64,100 and $65,200, they'll get something, but the specifics aren't outlined in the contract terms.

Trading on this event requires careful consideration, as futures and options involve significant risk. The restrictions apply to anyone employed by Source Agencies or holding non-public information on the underlying assets.