Automakers Face One-Two Punch from War and Strong Yen
Japanese automakers are facing a potentially one-two punch from two sources: the ongoing Iran war and a strengthening yen.
In their most recent quarterly reports, Toyota, Honda, and Nissan benefited from a historically weak currency. The companies upgraded their full-year forecasts, with Toyota and Honda issuing revised projections. However, this favorable trend may not continue.
The US Treasury and Japan's Ministry of Finance jointly coordinated a rare yen-buying intervention in early August to stabilize the currency, which had fallen to 40-year lows at around $163 per dollar.
Analysts warn that a strong yen would be detrimental to Japanese automakers. Vincent Sun from Morningstar stated, 'If government intervention is to strengthen the yen, this would be negative for Japanese automakers.'
A strengthening yen could lead to either higher prices in foreign markets or reduced operating profits due to a lower yen value of foreign earnings.