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Canada Stocks Tapered Expectations Ahead of Jobs Data

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Canada's S&P/TSX futures rose 0.4% early Friday as investors waited for jobs reports from the US and Canada, both set to be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.

The employment data serves as a 'temperature check' on the economy, determining whether it has cooled enough for central banks to pause or remains hot enough to keep rates higher for longer.

US Federal Reserve rate hike odds have slipped from about 67% last week to roughly a coin flip, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Meanwhile, LSEG-compiled pricing suggests the Bank of Canada is still expected to keep rates unchanged for the rest of the year.

This shift in expectations can impact more than just bonds, easing US rate expectations could support assets like gold and influence how global investors price risk across equities and credit.

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