Dollar Firms Ahead of FOMC as AUD/JPY Tests Key Support
The US dollar has strengthened ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on Wednesday, with futures pricing close to a 90% chance of a 25bp hike.
A September hike is now effectively the base case, with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, HSBC and Deutsche Bank all shifting to a September hike. Firm CPI and PPI data, resilient activity, and the renewed oil shock have driven the repricing.
The US dollar's strength has dominated FX markets, with AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and NZD/USD all moving in its favor.
AUD/JPY is clinging to support after falling more than 4.6% in two weeks, raising the prospect of a near-term bounce before bears re-engage.