Dollar Soars Against Euro Amid Resilient US Growth
The US dollar is poised to see its biggest monthly gain against the euro in 14 months, driven by stronger economic growth and rising interest rates in the United States.
The euro has been one of the worst-performing G10 currencies this year, pressured by Europe's energy and debt worries. In contrast, the US economy continues to show resilience, with a recent run of data pointing to persistent inflation. As a result, traders have priced in a more aggressive path for US monetary policy relative to the euro zone.
This hawkish Fed pricing has put downward pressure on the euro, which has lost nearly 2.3% against the dollar this month. The euro's weakness is also reflected in its performance against other major currencies, including the yen, which has fallen 1.7% against the dollar in September.
However, analysts caution that the current dollar strength may be fragile and over-stretched relative to developments in the euro area-US interest rate differential. Thu Lan Nguyen, an FX analyst at Commerzbank, said: 'I would still regard the current dollar strength as rather fragile...'