Dollar Weakens as Waller Keeps Hike Options Open
The US Dollar experienced a slight weakening following comments from Fed Governor Waller. He expressed his inclination to keep interest rates unchanged in September if August inflation data shows continued progress, but would consider a hike if inflation comes in hot.
Waller's remarks shifted the focus to upcoming inflation and jobs data, which will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's near-term policy decision. The market pricing for a September rate hike moved closer to a 50/50 call from around 60/40 in favor of a hike prior to the comments.
Recent economic data has been supportive of the US economy. The ISM services index rose to 55.4 in August, exceeding expectations and pointing to solid momentum in the services sector. Meanwhile, the upcoming US Jobs Report is due out this week, with expected nonfarm payrolls at +65k, slightly above consensus.
While Waller's comments were seen as dovish, strong economic data could put pressure on the Fed to hike rates further.