Emerging Markets Soar as Weak US Jobs Data Eases Fed Hike Fears
The US economy's unexpected job losses in July sent emerging market stocks and currencies soaring on Monday. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose by 0.7%, a welcome shift in sentiment after weeks of concern over potential interest rate hikes.
This optimism follows the release of official US employment figures for July, which revealed that the economy shed 23,000 jobs instead of gaining them. This weaker job creation is seen as a sign that the US economy is cooling down, reducing investor expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening.
The market-implied probability of a Fed rate hike in September has dropped to around 44%, down from 55% previously. Lower interest rates in the US typically weaken the dollar and encourage global investors to move money into emerging markets, which are often viewed as higher-growth destinations.