Euro Hits 17-Month Low Amid Political and Fiscal Uncertainty
The euro faced renewed pressure on Tuesday, hitting a 17-month low amid political instability and fiscal concerns in the eurozone. The single currency dropped to $1.1219 in Asian trading, extending last week's 1.2% decline. The euro also weakened against the British pound, losing over 1% in the previous week. Rising debt levels in France and political gridlock ahead of Spain's snap election contributed to the euro's struggles.
Analysts remain bearish on the euro's outlook. Joseph Capurso of Commonwealth Bank of Australia predicted the euro could fall below $1.10. He cited several factors that could reverse the euro's decline, including lower oil prices, tighter European monetary policy, or fiscal consolidation. However, Capurso doubted any near-term fiscal reforms in the eurozone.
The dollar continued its upward trajectory, supported by elevated US Treasury yields, which reached multi-decade highs overnight. Sterling slipped 0.06% to $1.3216, while the dollar gained 0.18% against the yen. The Bank of Japan may signal this month that inflation has hit its 2% target, suggesting further rate hikes ahead.
The dollar index rose to 102.17, nearing an 18-month high. Despite weaker US jobs data reducing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike this month, the greenback's strength persisted. Analysts at Barclays noted that cost pressures continue to raise doubts about achieving sustainable 2% inflation. The Australian and New Zealand dollars showed minimal movement, trading at $0.6971 and $0.5597, respectively.