Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

Fed Decision Week: Economic Data Releases to Shape October Rate Hike Outlook

Instruments
USD
Share

This week's economic data releases will have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's decision regarding an October rate hike.

Crypto analyst account @cryptorover notes that this period is crucial in determining the Fed's policy outlook, with labor, inflation, growth, and manufacturing data being released within days of each other.

The calendar for the week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishing August JOLTS job openings data on Tuesday, followed by the Bureau of Economic Analysis releasing August PCE inflation data alongside the third Q2 GDP estimate on Wednesday.

The September ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released on Thursday, and the September jobs report is scheduled for Friday. The jobs report is particularly significant, as it will provide insight into the labor market's resilience and whether hiring remains strong or slows down.

If the data indicates that inflation remains sticky and the labor market continues to grow, the odds of another 25 basis point rate hike in October will increase. This could have a negative impact on crypto markets, as tighter policy typically pressures risk assets.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc