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Fed Faces Mixed Signals as US Inflation Eases Amid Strong Consumer Spending

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US inflation data for August showed a softer-than-expected increase in core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices, which rose just 0.2% month-on-month, below economists' estimate of 0.3%. The annual core PCE inflation rate remained at 3%, below the expected 3.3%.

The headline PCE index increased by 0.3% from the previous month, as predicted, but the annual increase was 3.4%, still below the estimated 3.7% target set by the Federal Reserve.

Despite the modest inflation rise, consumer spending remained strong in August, with a 0.9% increase, slightly above the forecasted 0.8%. Personal income, however, rose only 0.2%, missing economists' expectations of a 0.4% gain.

The BEA also revised its estimate for Q2 GDP growth to an annualized rate of 2.2%, up from the initial 1.5% estimate. Consumer spending was the primary driver of this increase, growing at a 3.8% pace in the second quarter.

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