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Fed Rate Hike Odds: Higher Than Markets Think

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The bar for a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week is higher than implied by market expectations, despite recent developments that could support a rate increase.

Moderate inflation data and easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran have led some to anticipate a potential rate hike, but experts caution against reading too much into these factors.

The U.S. central bank has kept its benchmark policy rate unchanged since December at 3.50 per cent-3.75 per cent range, with no clear indication of an imminent change.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's approach to monetary policy is seen as a key factor in this week's decision, with some speculating that he may choose not to follow market expectations.

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