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FTSE 100 Set to Fall as High Bond Yields Outweigh Softer US Inflation

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The FTSE 100 is expected to open around 45 points lower on Thursday, extending Wednesday's decline. This comes despite softer US inflation data, which reduces expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase.

US core PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 3.0% year-on-year in August, below market expectations. However, this relief was insufficient to offset the pressure from longer-dated bonds. The US 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since June 2007 at 5.306%.

The Dow fell 0.9% and the S&P 500 lost 0.3%, while the Nasdaq gained 0.2%. Asian markets were mixed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 jumping over 3% due to strong results from US memory-chip maker Micron. However, Australian equities fell sharply.

Oil prices also played a significant role in the market backdrop, falling around 1.4% to $96.64 a barrel. Cheaper crude has a mixed impact on the FTSE 100, reducing inflation pressure and benefiting fuel-intensive businesses but potentially weighing on BP and Shell.

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