Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

Gold Gains Momentum as Fed Hike Expectations Drop, Despite US-Iran Tensions

Instruments
USD
Share

Gold prices surged to around $4,395 during early Asian trading hours on Monday as expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike cooled down. This came after the release of weaker-than-expected US Retail Sales data, which showed a 0.6% monthly decline in July.

The report, coupled with last week's Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index data, suggested that inflationary pressure is easing, weighing on the US Dollar and boosting the price of gold, a USD-denominated commodity.

Money markets have priced in nearly a 33.1% chance of a September Fed hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, increasing its appeal as an investment.

However, persistent tensions between the US and Iran may cap gold's upside, with both countries engaging in a diplomatic standoff over the Strait of Hormuz waterway.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc