Goldman Sachs Urges Lower Spending as Global Borrowing Costs Surge
Goldman Sachs co-CEO Anthony Gutman has emphasized the need for reduced government spending as Western nations grapple with rising borrowing costs. The US 10-year Treasury yield recently hit near-record highs at 5.27%, with similar pressures seen in bond markets across the UK, France, Japan, and Australia. Gutman attributes this trend to surging energy costs and rising debt, suggesting that lower fiscal deficits could help combat inflation and stabilize borrowing expenses.
In an interview with CNBC, Gutman described the global economy as "awash in debt" and stressed the importance of fiscal prudence. He highlighted the need for a combination of lower spending and higher economic growth to address these challenges. His remarks come ahead of an upcoming election cycle in Europe, which he noted is adding to policy uncertainty and complicating efforts to manage these issues.
US bond yields have surged this year, with the 10-year yield briefly exceeding 5.3% before easing slightly. The 30-year yield also reached a historic high of 5.7% before cooling. A Goldman Sachs report warned that prolonged high interest rates could further strain US government finances, projecting the debt-to-GDP ratio could hit 132% by 2035. The firm expects one more Fed rate hike in December, followed by cuts starting in mid-2027.
Internationally, bond markets are under pressure due to rising government debt and inflation concerns. Conflicts in the Middle East have pushed up crude prices, increasing inflation risks. Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, the EU, and Japan, have raised rates to cool their economies. Meanwhile, US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion, fueled by a spending boom in artificial intelligence and heightened borrowing costs.