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Market Watch: CPI Data, RBA Decision, Q2 GDP Growth in Focus

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AUD
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The upcoming week promises to be an eventful one for economic and financial markets. Key releases include CPI data from the US, which is expected to show a temperate reading in July, with inflation pressures becoming less widespread.

According to Bloomberg Finance L.P. and Wells Fargo Economics, existing home sales are forecast to dip 2.2% in July due to higher mortgage rates and ongoing affordability challenges. The same report also estimates that CPI rose 0.13% in July, as lower gasoline prices offset moderate increases elsewhere.

In Australia, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to hold the Cash Rate at 4.35%, with a hawkish stance maintained despite recent inflation data providing some encouragement. Meanwhile, in the UK, Q2 GDP growth is forecast to remain resilient, which could support a hike later in the year.

Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will maintain its hawkish bias and keep interest rates unchanged at 4.35% next week. However, another hike in September is expected as the RBA gains clarity on activity and domestic pass-through from higher energy prices.

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