As Alberta prepares to vote on October 19 on whether to remain part of Canada, much of the discussion has focused on potential investment losses. However, Christopher Worswick, a professor of economics at Carleton University, argues that the economic impact of migration patterns could be even more significant.
Worswick points out that individuals face greater career risks than companies do with political instability. An Angus Reid poll found that three-quarters of Albertans who plan to vote against separation would leave the province if it seceded. Historical data shows Quebec lost over 5% of its population before its 1980 referendum, with the exodus primarily involving highly educated and skilled workers.
Another critical concern is the potential decline in international students, who contribute around 0.7% of Alberta’s GDP through tuition and spending. Many students may opt for universities in other provinces to avoid the uncertainty of studying in a potentially non-Canadian institution. This could have long-term economic consequences for Alberta’s education sector and broader economy.
Worswick urges Albertans to carefully consider these migration risks before voting on Question 10, warning that even a majority vote for secession could trigger significant economic challenges regardless of whether the process is completed.