As New Zealand prepares for its general election on November 7, the Auckland suburb of Onehunga in the Maungakiekie electorate is under the spotlight. Known as a bellwether seat, Maungakiekie has accurately reflected national voting trends in the past two elections. In 2020, Labour won 50% of the national vote and 50.3% in Maungakiekie. In 2023, Labour’s support dropped to 26.9% nationally and 27.1% in the electorate.
This year’s election is particularly tight, with polls suggesting neither the left nor right blocs will secure an outright majority. Voters are frustrated by economic stagnation and high inflation, leading to slipping support for mainstream parties like National and Labour. Minor parties, especially Opportunity, could play a decisive role in the outcome.
Locals in Maungakiekie express a mix of loyalties and disillusionment. Jemimah Fifita, a 25-year-old student, is considering voting for Opportunity, citing youth unemployment and rising living costs. Nigel Higgins, a longtime resident, refuses to vote, believing all governments are oppressive. Lance Polmear, a construction worker, plans to vote National despite his dissatisfaction with some of its policies.
In the more affluent suburb of Ellerslie, support leans toward the National-led coalition. Kerry McCullough, a florist, opposes Labour and will vote National, despite finding its leader unappealing. David Parsons, a butcher, is switching his vote from National to New Zealand First, drawn to Winston Peters’ stance on immigration and mining.