New Zealand’s general election is shaping up to be a tight race, with early results showing the ruling centre-right National Party slightly ahead of the main opposition Labour Party. As of the initial count, the Electoral Commission reported that 14.4% of the votes have been tallied, with National securing 30.90% of the party vote compared to Labour’s 28.39%. Projections suggest the current three-party coalition led by National could retain power, despite widespread voter disillusionment and economic struggles.
Labour lawmaker Kieran McNulty acknowledged the unexpected lead for National, stating in an interview with TVNZ, 'I think the (National Party) are a bit higher than we expected in complete honesty with you.' However, he cautioned against drawing firm conclusions from the early results, noting that only a small portion of votes had been counted so far.
The outcome may not be clear for weeks, as the Electoral Commission expects to release preliminary results from 50% of voting places by 10 p.m. (0900 GMT). Official results are due on November 27, followed by coalition negotiations. New Zealand’s mixed member proportional system often results in coalition governments, and this year’s tight race means smaller parties could play a decisive role.
Special votes, which include those from overseas voters and others outside their electorate, will not be counted until November 27. Historically, these votes have favored left-leaning parties, potentially shifting the balance. The election comes amid a struggling economy, with rising unemployment at 5.7% in the third quarter, its highest level in 11 years.